Growing partisan polarization and democratic “backsliding” in various parts of the world have raised concerns about the attachment of ordinary Americans to democratic institutions and procedures. I find that substantial numbers of Republicans endorse statements contemplating violations of key democratic norms, including respect for the law and for the outcomes […] Read more »
Trump is trying to grab some of Biden’s most valuable supporters
… So far this summer, Biden has polled spectacularly well in suburbs — even historically GOP ones in the Sun Belt — thanks to his strength among college-educated white voters. In an average of live-interview polls taken in August, Biden led Trump among that group 56 percent to 39 percent, […] Read more »
Americans don’t support the idea of defunding the police
… Most advocates of police defunding seek to redirect some police funds toward other social services, as opposed to completely disbanding the police. But that nuance may not be widely understood, and recent polls show that clear majorities oppose simply “defunding” the police. Some observers worry the “defund” slogan could […] Read more »
We Don’t Know Yet Whether Unrest In Kenosha And Portland Will Help Trump
There’s been media speculation over the past week that unrest in places like Kenosha, Wisconsin, and Portland, Oregon, could reshape the presidential race and hurt Democratic nominee Joe Biden. The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast crew discusses why there is not yet evidence to back up these assertions. They also preview Tuesday’s […] Read more »
The dramatic impact the riots are having on 2020
… After George Floyd’s murder on May 25th, there was righteous anger across the political spectrum and not very many answers. The Left attributed the problem to systemic racism and many in both the middle and the Right agreed the problem must be addressed. … Witness the CNN poll (June […] Read more »
A backlash against the protests could turn into a backlash against Trump
Nate Silver discusses whether or not Trump could use a decline in support of recent protests to his advantage. This Week, ABC News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »