Religion Divides Hispanic Opinion in the U.S.

Preliminary exit polling indicates that around one-third of Hispanic voters cast their ballots for President Donald Trump, and more than four in ten voted for Trump in the crucial state of Florida. Trump’s performance among Hispanic voters in 2020 is likely better than it was in 2016, when exit polls […] Read more »

Trump’s racist appeals powered a White evangelical tsunami

As partisans and analysts puzzle over the higher-than-expected turnout for President Trump (nearly 6 million fewer votes than for President-elect Joe Biden, but still high), they are poring over groups and subgroups: White, non-college-educated men. Suburban women. Young Black men. But much of the Trump 2020 phenomenon can be explained […] Read more »

How 2020 Killed Off Democrats’ Demographic Hopes

For years, the Democratic Party has operated under one immutable assumption: Long-term demographic trends would give the party something like a permanent majority as the country as a whole grows less white and more urban. President Donald Trump’s reliance on the politics of racial resentment would only quicken the process, […] Read more »

Democrats’ 2024 Problem Is Already Clear

Joe Biden often describes himself as a bridge between the Democratic Party’s past and future generation of leaders. But the 2020 election results signal that he may play an even more indispensable role, as a bridge between the party’s past and future electoral coalitions. Biden won the White House by […] Read more »