Bernie Sanders has had strong showings in Iowa and New Hampshire, but he is facing an important challenge: appealing to minority voters. … Our new research confirms what many Sanders supporters have feared: Black voters have substantially more favorable feelings about his opponent, Hillary Clinton. Our data are unusual: a […] Read more »
Democratic Candidates Face Different Kinds of Diversity in Nevada and South Carolina
After its start in two overwhelmingly white states, Iowa and New Hampshire, the presidential nominating contests move on to much more diverse territory in South Carolina and Nevada. The change is particularly important to Democrats Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. The racial and ethnic compositions of Democratic electorates changes from […] Read more »
Clinton Strong in South Carolina But Warning Signs Ahead, Bloomberg Poll Shows
Hillary Clinton holds a commanding lead over Bernie Sanders in South Carolina thanks to a 3-to-1 advantage among African-American voters, according to a Bloomberg Politics poll that shows the Democrats’ fourth nominating contest still can be a Clinton firewall to blunt her rival’s momentum. But the survey also carries warning […] Read more »
Clinton, Sanders and the Underrated Power of the Black Voter
If you were asked to assess African-American voting power, you might think about the long history of disenfranchisement that still lingers today, in troubles in Ferguson, Mo.; in efforts to roll back the Voting Rights Act; or in recent moves to limit voting access around the country. So it can […] Read more »
Rubio Or Cruz Could Help The GOP Win Over More Latino Voters
Even after Marco Rubio’s and Ted Cruz’s respective fifth-place and third-place finishes in New Hampshire, the GOP is closer to nominating a Latino candidate for president than either major party has ever been. As of this writing, betting markets give Rubio and Cruz a combined 39 percent chance to be […] Read more »
Partisanship, racial prejudice, and claims that President Obama was born overseas
… What is it that leads a substantial proportion of Americans to accept a claim with no solid evidence and plenty of available refutation? … In our study, we were interested in two specific factors that might lead people to accept claims that Barack Obama was born overseas: partisanship and […] Read more »