The African-American electorate has been undergoing a quiet, long-term transformation, moving from the left toward the center on several social and cultural issues, while remaining decisively liberal, even radical, on economic issues, according to a series of studies by prominent African-American scholars. … Contemporary polling provides evidence of moderation among […] Read more »
Univision News poll: Democrats surge in Texas, no longer a safe state for Trump in 2020
President Donald Trump could be defeated in Texas, a conservative state which has not elected a Democratic presidential candidate for over 40 years. Days away from the third Democratic debate in Houston and over a year from the 2020 presidential election, an exclusive poll by Univision News found that 40% […] Read more »
Why working-class whites aren’t giving up on Trump
“In some countries working-class groups have proved to be the most nationalistic and jingoistic sector of the population,” wrote the highly esteemed sociologist and political scientist Seymour Martin Lipset — 60 years ago last month. In his seminal article “Democracy and Working-Class Authoritarianism,” which appeared in the August 1959 issue […] Read more »
Joe Biden ahead in Democratic race, with Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren filling out the top tier
Former vice president Joe Biden holds a modest lead in the contest for the Democratic presidential nomination, bolstered by his personal appeal and current perceptions among Democratic voters that he has the best chance of defeating President Trump in the 2020 general election, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll. […] Read more »
The power of Texas in presidential politics
Latinos attract less attention than they otherwise merit in American politics because almost half of Latinos live in the two biggest states, neither of which is a presidential swing state: comfortably blue California and reliably red Texas. In the first half of this third, two-part post in my series about […] Read more »
Six maps that reveal America’s expanding racial diversity
In less than one year, the 2020 census will record just how much more racially diverse the nation has become, continuing the “diversity explosion” that punctuated the results of the 2010 census. While less authoritative than the once-a-decade national headcount, recently released U.S. Census Bureau estimates for 2018 make plain […] Read more »