Hispanic voters are growing in power. Why are Democratic presidential candidates ignoring them?

… Hispanics are increasingly influential in the Democratic Party and in a general election contest, but leaders and activists say they feel ignored and misunderstood by candidates who have spent much of their time focusing on Iowa and New Hampshire, predominantly white states at the top of the nominating calendar. […] Read more »

Just How Far Are White Evangelicals Out of the Mainstream? A Case Study of Immigration and Abortion

… I hate feeling like a broken record, but it’s important to tell a clear and unambiguous, data-driven story about what white evangelicalism has become. This is not a group that is just to the right of center. As I’ve written before, white evangelicals are now three times further away […] Read more »

White evangelicals fear atheists and Democrats would strip away their rights. Why?

As the House has moved through the impeachment of President Trump, voices on the extreme right have been arguing that it’s the first shot in a coming “civil war.” According to conservative evangelical conspiracy theorist Rick Wiles, “The Democrats are forcing me to stockpile ammunition, food, water, and medical supplies […] Read more »

Is it true that “Most polls misrepresent the Democratic electorate” and that this “skews the results”?

Someone pointed me to this post in the Monkey Cage, a political science blog that I participate in. The post was about non-representativeness of political polls, and it had one good point and one bad point. Overall I think the claims in the post were overstated. CONT. Andrew Gelman (Columbia […] Read more »

Would Booker and Castro be in tonight’s debate if polls counted people of color accurately?

Donald Trump’s presidency has pushed a variety of groups — including blacks, Latinos, Asian Americans and Native Americans — to become more politically engaged, spurring giant protests and record voter turnout in the 2018 midterms. At the same time, the proportion of the population that is not white continues to […] Read more »