As Joe Biden racked up a string of unexpected victories in Super Tuesday primaries, he began to stitch together the kind of political coalition that had eluded his candidacy for months: a broad assembly of voters with the collective power to potentially defeat President Trump in November. Biden’s strong showing […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders’ hidden Super Tuesday edge
Bernie Sanders could receive a big boost today from a powerful demographic dynamic, even as more party leaders consolidate to resist his candidacy. The groups that have most favored the senator from Vermont in the Democratic presidential race are much more widely distributed than the groups that have resisted him […] Read more »
What Makes Southern Democrats Unique
… The states of the former Confederacy will elect a little over one quarter of Democrats’ pledged delegates in 2020 — six of them on Super Tuesday (Alabama, Arkansas, North Carolina, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia). And so as the 2020 Democratic primary contests move to the South, I figured it […] Read more »
Solid Hispanic support for Sanders could carry him to victory in California
Victory in the South Carolina primary gave a new oxygen to Joe Biden’s campaign, but one of the obstacles he will encounter in California is the immense support that Bernie Sanders has garnered among Hispanic voters there. According to a new state poll by Univision News, Latino Community Foundation and […] Read more »
Buttigieg and Klobuchar Are Out. What Now?
The sudden withdrawals of Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar from the Democratic presidential field sharpen one of the race’s most important remaining questions: How will college-educated white voters split if the contest narrows into a binary choice between Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden? One of the most surprising trends of […] Read more »
Why Some Suburban Women Are Wary of Bernie Sanders
In the Trump era, the suburbs have been Democrats’ surprising superpower. A revolt by college-educated voters, largely women, in suburbs from Virginia Beach to Oklahoma City, from Houston to Southern California, delivered the House majority to Democrats in 2018. Driven by anxiety over guns, health care and the environment, and […] Read more »