Gallup’s August update finds its Economic Confidence Index at +24, down slightly from +29 in July. The current measure is largely in line with other 2019 measurements, apart from a higher +32 reading in February and a lower +16 score in January. CONT. Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup Read more »
Could Trump Drive Young White Evangelicals Away From The GOP?
A central message of President Trump’s insurgent candidacy in 2016 boiled down to this: Millions of Americans are losers — economically, culturally and even demographically. Perhaps no group needed less convincing of this proposition than white evangelical Christians, who have long felt embattled. “Make America Great Again” was the perfect […] Read more »
Has a tipping point been reached on support for gun control?
FiveThirtyEight editor-in-chief Nate Silver analyzes whether public opinion and Washington’s political will have shifted on gun control after repeated mass shootings. ABC News Recent polls: Guns Read more »
Inequality as a Voter Concern in 2020
Economic inequality has been a front-and-center emphasis for the Democratic presidential candidates this year, but there is little evidence that it has become an increasingly important priority for the average American. CONT. Frank Newport, Gallup Read more »
Will a good economy save Trump?
Conventional wisdom holds that Trump won the 2016 election by appealing to voters left behind in Obama’s economy and may win re-election based on a stronger economy in 2020. But new research casts doubt on both stories. Sean Freeder finds that the effect of economic performance on the president’s re-election […] Read more »
Research Findings and Strategic Guidance on Engaging Latino Voters
Latino voters will make up an increasing share of the electorate in 2020 and, while they predominantly support Democrats over Trump, there is a significant amount of work to be done. Health care and immigration are the top issues for Latino voters in Florida, Arizona and Nevada, but Democrats must […] Read more »