The current list of swing states in American politics mostly features places where Black voters don’t play an outsize role – states such as Arizona, Nevada and Wisconsin. Even in swing states where Black voters make up at least 10% of the voting public (e.g., Michigan and Pennsylvania), the Black […] Read more »
What’s going to happen in Washington over the next 2 years? Americans don’t expect much.
Call them realistic: Americans are braced for little compromise and less action in Washington over the next two years of divided government. The messy fight by Republicans to elect a new House speaker left the public convinced by 61%-17% that the GOP and President Joe Biden are less likely to […] Read more »
DeSantis Neck-and-Neck with Trump in Republican 2024 Presidential Matchup
A new national University of Massachusetts Amherst Poll has found Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis running neck-and-neck with former President Donald Trump in a potential head-to-head matchup for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination. In a one-on-one matchup, DeSantis edges Trump among Republicans in the new national poll, 51-49, which is within […] Read more »
Poll Finds Softening of Some Americans’ Views of Events on Jan. 6, 2021
Two years after the attack on the U.S. Capitol to disrupt President Joe Biden’s election certification on Jan. 6, 2021, a new national University of Massachusetts Amherst Poll finds Americans’ views softening on the day’s events and a growing belief that the nation should “move on” from the attack on […] Read more »
The GOP may regret McCarthy’s concessions in 2024
One of Kevin McCarthy’s first acts as speaker of the House was to take a selfie with Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, the far-right conspiracy theorist and election denier who has emerged as one of his staunchest allies. That image, which Greene immediately posted on social media, encapsulates the wager McCarthy […] Read more »
Biden Approval Rating Jumps As He Pivots Toward Center
President Joe Biden’s approval rating has climbed to a nine-month high as he pivots to govern with a divided Congress, the January IBD/TIPP Poll finds. Biden’s job approval rating jumped 4.5 points to 49.1 in the new IBD/TIPP Poll. The IBD/TIPP presidential job approval figure indicates that 49.1% of adults […] Read more »