President Biden continues to enjoy widespread job approval, as well as approval of his handling of the coronavirus pandemic and healthcare. The public is less positive about his handling of immigration and gun policy. And 54% say things in this country are going in the right direction, the highest since […] Read more »
Elizabeth Warren’s Book Shows She Has No Idea Why Her Campaign Failed
The 2020 Democratic primary took place in a disorienting atmosphere. The 2016 election, in which the supposedly unelectable candidate had defeated the supposedly safe one, seemed to overturn all the conventional assumptions about the electorate, and many activists and candidates went into the next election as if those assumptions weren’t […] Read more »
Yes, Sexism Really Did Doom the Warren Campaign
Elizabeth Warren has a new memoir out that is driving some interesting discussion this weekend. Unfortunately, some in the pundit world are using it to draw false conclusions in support of positions that mischaracterize both the Democratic base and the general electorate. Those misconceptions need correction. … As far as […] Read more »
Liz Cheney is learning the GOP equals Trumpism
The movement to replace Wyoming Rep. Liz Cheney in the House Republican leadership after she voted to impeach former President Donald Trump shouldn’t come as a surprise. And the fact that her potential replacement could be the relatively moderate New York Rep. Elise Stefanik should be even less shocking. The […] Read more »
In explaining the rise of populism, it’s not economic anxiety vs. identity politics – it’s both
Deindustrialization has decimated the blue-collar workforce in the US. … Our research examines the effects of deindustrialization on electoral politics. Specifically, we explore how deindustrialization affected voting in three US presidential elections (2008-2016), using county-level data which captures localized manufacturing job losses. Our argument is that responses to what we […] Read more »
It’s All About Confidence
There is little doubt that this country is both narrowly and badly divided. To the extent that there is any debate about the severity, it is whether today is worse than 1968, when both the civil rights struggle and an increasingly unpopular war in Vietnam divided the country. A lack […] Read more »