Key Points• Sens. Joe Manchin (D-WV) and Jon Tester (D-MT) are outliers in Congress — no other Senate or House member holds a state/district that is more hostile to his or her party at the presidential level than this pair.• Montana and especially West Virginia are deeply Republican at the […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Across the board, voters say economy getting worse for them
Most voters think the economy is in bad shape, a record number feel it’s getting worse for their family, and not many think the White House is helping, according to a new Fox News survey. Economic views are negative by more than three-to-one: 21% say it is in excellent/good shape, […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Trump still top 2024 Republican preference, DeSantis slipping
Former President Donald Trump maintains his advantage in the 2024 Republican presidential nomination race, as support for Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis falls for the second month in a row, according to a new Fox News survey. In addition, President Joe Biden bests his challengers in the survey’s first test of […] Read more »
DeSantis trails far behind Trump in Republican support for the 2024 presidential nomination
The latest Reuters/Ipsos survey shows that Donald Trump continues to lead in support for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination, followed far behind by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. In hypothetical matchups versus President Joe Biden, the margin between Trump and Biden is slimmer than that for Biden and DeSantis. While the […] Read more »
Biden’s fate lies with Republicans more than Democrats
… An NBC News poll out just days before his announcement shows that 51 percent of Democrats said they’d prefer Biden not run. A lot of that reflects his age, but his age was a concern in 2020, too. There is almost zero doubt that Biden will be the 2024 […] Read more »
Joe Biden Isn’t Popular. That Might Not Matter in 2024.
By almost any historic yardstick, President Joe Biden is beginning the reelection campaign he formally announced today in a vulnerable position. His job-approval rating has consistently come in at 45 percent or less; in several recent high-quality national polls, it has dipped closer to 40 percent. In surveys, three-fourths or […] Read more »