In red and blue states, Democrats are consolidating their hold on the most economically productive places. Metropolitan areas won by President Joe Biden in 2020 generated more of the total economic output than metros won by Donald Trump in 35 of the 50 states, according to new research by Brookings […] Read more »
There’s a toxic brew of mistrust toward U.S. institutions. It’s got real consequences
… Partisanship and polarization have been on the rise over the last 30 years. There are fewer competitive House districts, largely drawn by Republicans, which has meant more ideological purity in Congress and more hard-line, and, at times, ugly, in-your-face politics. It’s all mixed together to make for a toxic […] Read more »
Leaning Into State Trends: The Midwest and Interior West
Key Points• Both the Midwest and Interior West have states that Joe Biden carried by less than his popular vote margin in 2020.• In the Midwest, Michigan and Wisconsin will likely be prime battlegrounds states next year, although Michigan seems a harder lift for Republicans.• In the Interior West, Arizona’s […] Read more »
Fox’s obsession with Biden’s polling misses the point
“Biden’s approval rating hits all-time low,” Fox declared last week. Before that, its headlines read: “President Biden near record low approval among key groups.” “Biden approval sinks once again.” “Biden approval ratings remain well underwater, far below most recent presidents.” “Biden plagued by negative approval ratings ahead of second State […] Read more »
Can Biden Win Over the ‘Meh’ Voters Again in 2024?
For the first time in memory, low approval ratings of a sitting president didn’t cause a disaster for his party in a midterm election. Many Democratic candidates in 2022 succeeded in winning over voters who “somewhat” disapproved of Biden — a group I dubbed last fall as the ‘meh’ voters. […] Read more »
Long shots for president? How about no shots
The political world is aflutter with recent polling showing voters of all partisan stripes saying President Joe Biden should not run again. He is too old, asserted observers who have been making the same argument for months. Polls also showed — and this may knock you off your seat — […] Read more »