Donald Trump added to his long list of firsts Thursday, becoming the first former president to face federal criminal charges, relating to his alleged unlawful possession of classified documents. With the GOP primaries heating up and more challengers jumping in the race, we will see how this new indictment plays […] Read more »
The Emerging Anti-MAGA Majority
In 2016, Trump shocked the world by tearing down the “Blue Wall” states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Quickly, a new consensus congealed around the idea that despite having lost the national popular vote, and only barely having won the Electoral College, Trump had improved Republicans’ fortunes for the foreseeable […] Read more »
Is Gen Z Coming for the GOP?
Gen Z is poised to massively expand its influence in the 2024 election. But its impact may be more complex than typically assumed. As many as 7 million to 9 million more members of the racially and culturally diverse Gen Z could cast ballots in 2024 than did in 2020, […] Read more »
How one DeSantis speech captured the dynamic that could decide 2024
When Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis delivered his initial speech as a declared presidential candidate in Iowa last week, his first 15 minutes succinctly previewed how Republicans might defeat President Joe Biden next year. The next 30 minutes of DeSantis’ speech then demonstrated how Biden might survive despite all the doubts […] Read more »
Californians and Their Government
… Californians name economic conditions, homelessness, and housing as the most important issues facing the people of California today. Californians have mixed views about whether the state is going in the right or wrong direction. Strong majorities believe that the state will have bad times financially in the next 12 […] Read more »
How strong is Trump? He’s beating Republican rivals in their home states
… In recent years, national polling leaders at this point in the primary season who would go on to lose their party nominations did so in part because they lost the Iowa caucuses. That happened to the two candidates with the largest national leads: Republican Rudy Giuliani and Democrat Hillary […] Read more »