Election predictions look different (and better) now that all the races are over

More than two months later, the 2020 elections are still handing out lessons. The latest: Don’t judge election projections until all the results have hatched. … After Nov. 3, the decided narrative was “Here we go, 2016 all over again.” After President Donald Trump lost by less than expected and […] Read more »

With no traditional polling, both parties look to early voting turnout for predictions

Not a single major telephone pollster conducted a survey in Georgia ahead of Tuesday’s runoff elections — partly out of exhaustion after the polls missed the mark in November’s general contest, and partly because of how dicey it always is to poll a runoff, when turnout patterns become especially difficult […] Read more »

GOP pollster says ‘the next 48 hours are going to be among the worst’ ever for Republicans

Control of the Senate is up for grabs and voting in the Georgia runoff ends Tuesday. Frank Luntz, pollster and political strategist, joined “Squawk Box” on Tuesday morning to discuss why he thinks Democrats will win the elections. CNBC The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll […] Read more »

The Case For Republicans In Georgia vs. The Case For Democrats

The two Senate runoffs in Georgia are tighter than a 35-minute connection at Atlanta’s Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport. … These races could go either way. In fact, between the polls, the fundraising numbers, the early-voting data and the November results, both parties can find reasons to be optimistic heading into election […] Read more »

Georgia Senate Runoffs: Paths to Victory for Both Parties

On Tuesday, voters in Georgia will have the chance to dramatically shape the course of the Biden presidency. If both Democrats (Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock) emerge victorious in the state’s Senate runoff elections, Democrats will control the legislative and executive branches of government. But if just one of the […] Read more »

One Day Out: Will Trump Torpedo Republican Chances in the Georgia Runoffs?

… Tomorrow, Republicans will see whether there are real electoral consequences to Trump’s continued rage and myopic focus on overturning the legal results of the election. We will finally learn if the civil war within the Republican Party, especially in Georgia, will have harmed the chances of incumbent Sens. David […] Read more »