There’s already plenty of bad punditry regarding the chances of Hillary Clinton — who officially announced her candidacy on Sunday — to become the 45th president. … The truth is that a general election win by Clinton — she’s very likely to become the Democratic nominee — is roughly a […] Read more »
Huge Head Start for Hillary Clinton, but the Big Race Is Far From Won
… Hillary Clinton, whose widely expected presidential bid was announced on Sunday, enters the fray with a better chance to win without a serious contest than any of her predecessors. Her strength heading into the primary has little precedent; if a primary candidate ever deserved the distinction of “inevitable,” it […] Read more »
Amazon Cloud Introduces Artificial Intelligence Service
Websites are set to get smarter after Amazon.com Inc.’s cloud division added an artificial intelligence service that lets people add predictive and analytical capabilities to their applications. Andy Jassy, the head of the Amazon Web Services business, on Thursday announced the Amazon Machine Learning service. … The new product is […] Read more »
Why Israel’s Election Is Too Close To Call
There are two phases to the Israeli election that starts Tuesday. The first: electing some politicians. That’s the relatively easy part to forecast. The second: Figuring out who’s going to govern with whom. That is what’s really hard to predict. CONT. Carl Bialik & Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Value of presidential polls? Not much, and not for a while
Wondering who’s up and who’s down in the 2016 presidential race? Go for a run, tend the garden, clean the closet, remove the lint from the dryer, and then do it all over again because it’s going to be a long time before the polls will tell us much about […] Read more »
Why the betting markets disagree with the polls
The betting markets, the pollsters, even the voters are predicting the Conservatives will edge ahead by May 7. However, on the latest numbers, Labour are the likely winners. What’s behind this contradiction, and what does it mean for campaign strategy? I conducted an experiment which throws some light on the […] Read more »