Deindustrialization has decimated the blue-collar workforce in the US. … Our research examines the effects of deindustrialization on electoral politics. Specifically, we explore how deindustrialization affected voting in three US presidential elections (2008-2016), using county-level data which captures localized manufacturing job losses. Our argument is that responses to what we […] Read more »
Why Trump Still Has Millions of Americans in His Grip
Beginning in the mid-1960s, the priorities of the Democratic Party began to shift away from white working- and middle-class voters — many of them socially conservative, Christian and religiously observant — to a set of emerging constituencies seeking rights and privileges previously reserved for white men: African-Americans; women’s rights activists; […] Read more »
The racist ‘replacement theory’ has it all backward
Far right White supremacist groups, conservative media personalities and now Republicans in Congress are trying to inflame nativist feelings among conservative Whites by warning that liberals want immigrants to “replace” native-born Americans in the nation’s culture and electorate. But that racist “replacement theory” inverts the real consequence of immigration for […] Read more »
The Gender Backlash in the Vote for Brexit
Increasing gender equality and economic competition between men and women represent some of the largest changes to society. These profound cultural changes are argued to be an aspect of the cultural backlash arguments for populism, alongside concerns about immigration and the economy. We argue that men who perceive discrimination against […] Read more »
Why Trump Is Still Their Guy
His exile in Mar-a-Lago notwithstanding, Donald Trump’s authority over the Republican Party remains vast. You can see it in Republican reluctance to back a bipartisan inquiry into the Jan. 6 Capitol riot, in the widespread denunciation of party members who refused to overturn election results and who voted for Trump’s […] Read more »
A Top G.O.P. Pollster on Trump 2024, QAnon and What Republicans Really Want
… So what is it that the Republican Party, the real Republican Party, the Republican Party that loves Donald Trump and wants to see him run again, what does that Republican Party believe? What do they prioritize? What do they emphasize in politics? What do they think all this is […] Read more »