It’s fairly clear that President Obama holds a healthy-sized lead in the race for president. … Yet, it is the pollsters who are showing the closest races – that is, in this contest, those the friendliest to Mitt Romney – who are, not surprisingly, receiving the most attention from conservatives. […] Read more »
Obama pollster rips Romney camp’s version of electorate as a ‘fantasy’
The Romney campaign is joining the ranks of supporters who have decided that major national polls show Romney losing only because the samples are overly weighted with Dems. Romney pollster Neil Newhouse insists that public polling averages are “skewed,” and that the 2012 electorate will not show the same minority […] Read more »
Republicans to Pollsters: Too Many Democrats In Your Surveys
It has become a recurring refrain among some Republican pundits and observers each time a new poll shows President Obama or downballot Democrats doing well: Check the party composition. Critics allege that pollsters are interviewing too many Democrats — and too few Republicans or independents — and artificially inflating the […] Read more »
GOP takes aim at ‘skewed’ polls
The Romney campaign and other Republicans say polls showing President Obama with a significant lead over their candidate are inaccurate. They argue many mainstream polls skew in Obama’s favor because of sample sizes that base 2012 turnout projections on 2008, when Democrats — and Hispanics, blacks and young voters in […] Read more »
The Statistical State of the Presidential Race
With fewer than 45 days left in the presidential campaign, it’s no longer a cliché to say that every week counts. And there are a few polling-related themes we’ll be watching especially closely this week. This is probably about the last week, for instance, in which Mitt Romney can reasonably […] Read more »
Why polls vary: things that skew results
For Americans just tuning in to the fever dream of election season, the past week has been a confusing swirl of conflicting poll results. … At this time of year, the difference between poll results can be explained by everything from who is being surveyed (are they “likely” voters or […] Read more »