No calculations are necessary to see that we missed badly in our forecast of the U.K. election. … The most obvious problem for all forecasters was that the polling average had Labour and the Conservatives even on the night before the election. This was not just the average of the […] Read more »
Conflicting polls on Clinton; What gives?
Two respected polls released recently suggest polar opposite storylines about Hillary Clinton. One suggests she’s weathered recent controversy over her use of private email as secretary of state, and is even beginning to rebound. Another suggests her ratings have suffered as a result. What gives? CONT. Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Read more »
Stanford’s Jon Krosnick: On climate change, most Americans want action
Another presidential election, another chance for Republican candidates to step out of the denial zone and deal with climate change. That would put them on the same side as a large majority of Americans, if you ask Jon A. Krosnick. He’s a Stanford University professor who directs the Political Psychology […] Read more »
From ‘Hamlet’ to Hillary
If Hillary Clinton goes the distance, she may have Shakespeare to thank. Shakespeare and beer. Both forged one of her campaign’s chief architects, Joel Benenson. Both are among his compasses. … Benenson, 62, majored in theater at Queens College, part of the City University of New York. He thought he’d be an […] Read more »
Voter surveys must be neutral and without bias, pollsters say
Conducting surveys of voters’ attitudes on such controversial issues as teacher tenure, layoffs and seniority can be challenging and need to be handled with neutrality and without bias, according to the bipartisan team that handled a recent USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll. … Unions representing teachers expressed concerns about how […] Read more »
Why Bloomberg’s Poll on Income Inequality is Misleading
What do Americans think of income inequality? In two recent polls, we get very different views of Americans’ views about the government’s potential role in reducing the disparity. A CBS News poll suggests a clear majority believing the government should do “more to reduce the gap between the rich and […] Read more »