The 2016 and 2020 presidential elections left many Americans wondering whether polling was broken and what, if anything, pollsters might do about it. A new Pew Research Center study finds that most national pollsters have changed their approach since 2016, and in some cases dramatically. Most (61%) of the pollsters […] Read more »
A boxing-style rematch has been a long time coming in presidential politics
After a marquee boxing match, we’ve become conditioned to expect a rematch. But not so much in presidential contests. … Not since Adlai Stevenson was nominated by the Democratic National Convention in 1956 for a second shot at Dwight Eisenhower has a party gone back to the loser of the […] Read more »
Biden’s poll numbers look grim as he preps for reelection bid
Joe Biden became president promising a 180-degree turn from Donald Trump. But the two men do have one big thing in common: similarly poor approval ratings heading into the start of their reelection bids. Biden has not yet officially announced he’s running again next year, though he has said he […] Read more »
What hurts Republicans more: Trump, or extreme abortion bans?
It’s been a busy couple of weeks for the marquee Republican issues: Trump and abortion. Former President Trump has been indicted, a liberal justice who ran largely on preserving abortion rights won by 11 points in Wisconsin’s Supreme Court election, and federal court judges have issued opposing rulings on mifepristone, […] Read more »
Trump’s hidden advantage in the GOP primary
Even amid all his legal challenges, Donald Trump has a secret weapon in his drive to win the Republican presidential nomination next year: polling strongly suggests he has transformed the GOP primary electorate in a way that will make him harder to beat. Since Trump’s emergence as the GOP’s dominant […] Read more »
Biden’s polling numbers should not be this low
President Biden remains the overwhelming favorite to be the Democrats’ nominee for 2024. He has no serious challengers and looks likely to announce his own bid soon. His job approval with Democrats hovers in the low 80s in recent polls. Presidents with this type of support from their own party […] Read more »