… If you’re a Democrat thinking about running for office in a swing district in 2018, you’re hoping Trump’s ratings stay on the mildly to very unpopular side of the scale. Actually, “mildly unpopular” might not be good enough. The relationship between presidential approval ratings and congressional elections is rough, […] Read more »
Will Trump’s Approval Rating Be A Problem For Republicans In 2018?
… Trump’s historic unpopularity provides a glimmer of hope to Democrats, who are currently shut out of power in every elected division of the federal government. “Maybe, just maybe,” the thinking goes, “a backlash to Trump’s policies could jump-start a Democratic wave that could flip control of Congress in 2018.” […] Read more »
Trump’s poll numbers keep dropping. How low can he go?
… Americans were split on Trump upon his inauguration on Jan. 20; now they’ve reverted back to majority concern. Fifty-four percent of the people didn’t vote for Trump, and now 55 percent disapprove of him. But when will we know Trump’s really in trouble? When do we start talking about […] Read more »
Why the polling about Trump’s immigration crackdown is all over the place
On January 31, Reuters released a survey that said 49 percent of Americans approved of President Trump’s executive order on immigration and refugees. Just the day before, Rasmussen, another pollster, found 57 percent of voters supported it. Then on Sunday, CBS News published a poll showing that just 45 percent […] Read more »
Polling matters now more than ever
Polling is an act of political resistance. It agglomerates the messy and inconvenient opinions of everyday people, kneads them into a whole, and forces them through the door into the air-conditioned echo chambers of political elites. This is not newly true, it’s just newly apparent. Right now, the polls are […] Read more »
Are Trump’s low approval ratings ‘fake news’? I looked at the evidence.
To tell it from opinion surveys, President Trump is failing to make a good impression on the American people in his first month in office. … But can we take polls at face value in the Trump era? … Any negative polls are fake news, just like the CNN, ABC, […] Read more »