Throughout the fall campaign, then-candidate Donald Trump and his allies loved the USC/L.A. Times “Daybreak” poll — the only major survey that consistently showed him winning. “A couple polls got it right. I must say Los Angeles Times did a great job, shocking because, you know, they did a great […] Read more »
Trump’s Challenge: Dealing With a Polarized America
Donald Trump has skipped the traditional honeymoon period usually accorded presidents when they first take office. Americans, including those from the opposing party, typically have given a president a relatively high job approval rating until he settles into the job and makes moves that change their opinions. Not so with […] Read more »
Making Sense of Trump’s Disapproval Ratings
The most important single thing to know about Donald Trump’s approval ratings after his first month of the presidency is … there is no one single thing. Both the measurement and importance of presidential approval are complicated subjects, with wide ramifications for both governing and future elections. So here’s a […] Read more »
Trump’s Supporters Still Support Trump — So What?
In June of 1974, with the Watergate scandal exploding and President Richard Nixon’s approval ratings in the high 20s, the New York Times ran an article that interviewed rural, conservative whites in Holdrege, Nebraska, about their feelings toward the president. These respondents were fierce supporters of Nixon and did not […] Read more »
Why Polls Differ On Trump’s Popularity
Here’s what we can say for sure: It’s unprecedented for a president to face so much opposition from the electorate so soon. Recent polls show that anywhere between 43 and 56 percent of Americans disapprove of President Trump’s job performance. Even if you take the low end of that range, […] Read more »
Polling Matters: Trouble for Trump, ‘fake news’ & what the UK really thinks about immigration
On this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran is joined by Leo Barasi and Harry Carr (Head of Sky Data) to discuss Donald Trump’s approval rating and latest controversies, YouGov polling on ‘Fake News’ and the latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey which this week takes a look at immigration … […] Read more »