As readers of this blog know, I am not wild about public polls – they tend to focus people on the “horse race” at the expense of other areas of the campaign and way too often their read of the horse race or of changes in it are misleading. Nonetheless, […] Read more »
How bad is it for Ron DeSantis? He’s polling at RFK Jr.’s level
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has spent the past few months running to the right ahead of his expected entry into the 2024 Republican presidential primary campaign. From signing into law a six-week abortion ban to fighting with Disney, the governor has focused on satisfying his party’s conservative base. So far […] Read more »
Why are so many Americans unhappy with the state of the US today? Here’s what they said in CNN’s latest poll
It’s one of the most commonly asked poll questions: How do Americans feel about the state of the nation? And recently, the answer has usually been a negative one. But figuring out why people are unhappy is complicated. CNN’s latest polling asked Americans whether things in the country were going […] Read more »
Biden Begins Reelection Bid at Low Point in His Presidency
As Joe Biden begins his reelection campaign, his job approval rating among the U.S. public has slipped to 37%, the lowest Gallup has measured for him to date. Biden’s job approval has been in the low 40% range for most of the past 19 months, apart from the current reading […] Read more »
Biden’s fate lies with Republicans more than Democrats
… An NBC News poll out just days before his announcement shows that 51 percent of Democrats said they’d prefer Biden not run. A lot of that reflects his age, but his age was a concern in 2020, too. There is almost zero doubt that Biden will be the 2024 […] Read more »
Joe Biden Isn’t Popular. That Might Not Matter in 2024.
By almost any historic yardstick, President Joe Biden is beginning the reelection campaign he formally announced today in a vulnerable position. His job-approval rating has consistently come in at 45 percent or less; in several recent high-quality national polls, it has dipped closer to 40 percent. In surveys, three-fourths or […] Read more »