John Villasenor’s study on free speech attitudes among college students has received some attention. In one of the questions he asked, only 47% of students favored, “an open learning environment where students are exposed to all types of speech and viewpoints, even if it means allowing speech that is offensive […] Read more »
For the first time, Trump’s approval rating has increased for three weeks in a row
President Trump’s average weekly approval rating in Gallup polling has ticked one percentage point upward over the past four weeks. Thirty-five, then 36, then 37 and now 38 percent of the country thinks that Trump is doing a good job. Political observers would be justified in wondering why. Is this, […] Read more »
Haley’s UN Brinkmanship Comes With Advice by Long-Time Pollster
As Nikki Haley confronts her biggest test so far as U.S. envoy to the UN — persuading the Security Council to further tighten sanctions on North Korea — she’s leaning on a key adviser with little foreign policy experience: her South Carolina pollster. Jon Lerner, a political strategist who helped […] Read more »
Poll Hub: The debate over DACA
In this episode of Poll Hub, the debate over DACA. According to a new Marist Poll, a majority of Americans disapprove of President Donald Trump’s move to end DACA, similar to the findings of other recent surveys. What does it mean when the polls converge? Can the average poll consumer […] Read more »
We were unfair to traditional pollsters
A couple days ago, Slate ran an article by David Rothschild and myself, “We Need to Move Beyond Election-Focused Polling,” in which we wrote about various aspects of the future of opinion surveys. One aspect of this article was misleading. CONT. Andrew Gelman, Columbia U. Read more »
We Need to Move Beyond Election-Focused Polling
… In the wake of the 2016 election, which was not the massive failure in polling that many imagine but rather a misstep that exemplifies the current flaws of the system, many are asking “what is the future of polling?” Traditional polls cost a lot of money, take a lot […] Read more »