… The president has been able to freeze his standing among Americans. If you look at where the polls have been over the last six months or so, the trend line looks like the brain activity of a patient who has flat-lined. His approval ratings have stayed within a 2-point […] Read more »
Sample Composition Effects in Alabama Senate Election Polling
The controversy surrounding Roy Moore in the Alabama Senate election seemed primed to create a differential partisan nonresponse bias phenomenon often seen in past election polling. As negative news increases about a candidate in an election, members of the public who share that candidate’s party or support the candidate become […] Read more »
Taking a Deeper Dive into Recent Congressional Generic Ballot Polls
At first glance, there seems to be a dramatic change in just a short time in the generic congressional ballot question. Last week, The Marist Poll showed a 15 point Democratic lead over the Republicans 51% to 36%. This week, the NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll has the Democrats over the Republicans […] Read more »
Poll Hub: The Alabama Senate Race
Allegations of sexual misconduct against the Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Alabama, Roy Moore, have rocked the special election in the state. In this reddest of red states, the polls are inconsistent, and many lack the scientific rigor that instills confidence in the polls. Can the polls be believed? […] Read more »
Trump still loves polls
As a TV host, Donald Trump loved ratings. As president, he loves polls—as long as they show him on the upswing. … Aides in the White House often show Trump polls designed to make him feel good, according to aides and advisers. Usually they’re the ones that focus just on […] Read more »
Poll Hub: What’s in an Approval Rating?
President Donald Trump has certainly been in the thick of things during his first 10 months in office, but his job approval rating has changed little since he took the Oath of Office. As this episode of Poll Hub explains, President Trump maintains the support of his base and focuses […] Read more »