The stock market has surged. Unemployment is at 4.1 percent. ISIS has largely been vanquished from Iraq and Syria. But despite it all, Donald J. Trump’s approval ratings are mired in the upper 30s. No president has had worse ratings at this stage of his term since modern polling began […] Read more »
Most adults live in wireless-only households — and where that varies is important
Once upon a time, people had phones hard-wired in their houses. These phones were called “landlines,” and they relied on wires strung throughout their communities to operate. It was an effective technology, but one that necessarily meant that your ability to place and receive a telephone call was limited to […] Read more »
Pollster Jim Moore aimed to give voice to what the public was thinking
For pollster Jim Moore, politics was all about numbers, and his firm J. Moore Methods supplied the statistics that guided local and statewide campaigns in California for three decades. “His skills are unmatched in California policy and politics,” said Carl Guardino, president and CEO of the Silicon Valley Leadership Group, […] Read more »
Poll Hub: The Pollsters Strike Back
In this episode of Poll Hub, the brain trust of The Marist Poll shares its poll watcher’s checklist for the 2018 midterm elections for United States Congress. What can pollsters and media pundits do to prevent the public from being pointed in the wrong direction? Stay tuned. Marist Poll Read more »
Is polling dead (or dying)?
On Wednesday, the best known polling organization in the world made a big change. Gallup announced that it would no longer be doing a daily presidential approval tracking poll. “Beginning in 2018, Gallup will start updating presidential job approval on a weekly basis, rather than on a daily basis,” wrote […] Read more »
How trustworthy are the polls, more than a year after the 2016 election?
Over the past year, political professionals have been picking over the pre-election polling data to figure out whether the polls failed to predict Donald Trump’s upset victory over Hillary Clinton. In many people’s minds, the polls were flat wrong in 2016. Actually, it’s more complicated than that. … After interviewing […] Read more »