It wasn’t last week’s biggest news, but Gallup generated headlines with a poll revealing social conservatism rising to its highest level in a decade. The number of Americans claiming to be conservative on social issues grew to 38 percent from 33 percent in 2022 and 30 percent in 2021, while […] Read more »
Just How “Electable” is Trump, Anyway?
Key Points• Despite a second indictment, Donald Trump remains in a strong position in the GOP presidential primary field.• Trump continues to earn majorities or near-majorities in polls, far outpacing his rivals, including Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.• Republicans would rather have a nominee they agree with than an electable one. […] Read more »
The indictment, the primaries, and 2024
Donald Trump added to his long list of firsts Thursday, becoming the first former president to face federal criminal charges, relating to his alleged unlawful possession of classified documents. With the GOP primaries heating up and more challengers jumping in the race, we will see how this new indictment plays […] Read more »
Extremism is more bipartisan than Democrats want to believe
It’s obvious to us Democrats that the GOP is the party of extremists and extremism. … Republicans want to outlaw abortion; they’re willing to default on government debts already incurred; they believe children should be able to buy weapons of war; they reject efforts to combat the climate crisis. For […] Read more »
How strong is Trump? He’s beating Republican rivals in their home states
… In recent years, national polling leaders at this point in the primary season who would go on to lose their party nominations did so in part because they lost the Iowa caucuses. That happened to the two candidates with the largest national leads: Republican Rudy Giuliani and Democrat Hillary […] Read more »
Biden-McCarthy compromise is in line with public opinion
Amazingly enough, President Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy managed to broker a debt-ceiling deal and say respectful things about each other over the long weekend. Heavy criticism of the deal from both left and right kept us moored in reality, though, and as of this writing, the bill has […] Read more »