… Depending on how you average the polling, Biden is either up or down a point or two against former President Donald Trump (the most likely GOP nominee at this point). This is important because if the polls were pointing to a blowout, it would take a very popular third-party […] Read more »
Recent Supreme Court rulings alienate the left but are hardly unpopular
After a series of key setbacks for their side on affirmative action, gay weddings and student loan debt forgiveness, Democrats are again railing against the Supreme Court. They have lumped the decisions in with perhaps the court’s most unpopular and consequential adverse ruling in recent times: the overturning of Roe […] Read more »
The Post-Racial Republicans
… One of the core beliefs that binds the modern Republican coalition, particularly since the rise of Donald Trump, is rejection of the idea that racial minorities and women face structural bias in American society. Studies of the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections conducted by the Tufts political scientist Brian […] Read more »
How a Year Without Roe Shifted American Views on Abortion
… The New York Times reviewed polls from groups that have been asking Americans about abortion for decades, including Gallup, Public Religion Research Institute, Pew Research, Ipsos, KFF and other nonpartisan polling organizations. All pointed to the same general trends: growing public support for legalized abortion and dissatisfaction with new […] Read more »
Why the 2024 GOP Primary Isn’t Like 2016
For a while now, political prognosticators and armchair campaign analysts have mused that the GOP presidential primary is almost a carbon copy of the 2016 contest. A crowded field of candidates, few of whom are willing to confront Trump directly, will once again ensure that Trump will roll-up primary wins […] Read more »
Why Trump Might Just Roll to the Presidential Nomination
This should be a window of widening opportunity and optimism for the Republicans chasing Donald Trump, the commanding front-runner in the 2024 GOP presidential race. Instead, this is a time of mounting uncertainty and unease. Rather than undermine Trump’s campaign, his indictment last week for mishandling classified documents has underscored […] Read more »