Pete Buttigieg, the mayor of a small city in Indiana, has attracted national media attention and is rising in early Democratic Primary polls. Andrew Yang, an entrepreneur with no political experience, already has the 65,000 unique donors required to qualify for the Democratic primary debate stage. The appeal of political […] Read more »
Poll Hub: An Interview with Gallup’s Editor in Chief
Though a 10-year veteran of Gallup, Mohamed Younis has served as the organization’s editor-in-chief for just four months. On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, Younis joins the discussion to share his vision for the future of Gallup and how he is working to preserve the legacy of founder George […] Read more »
How The Giant Democratic Primary Field Messes With Polls
There are already a lot of things that a smart poll-watcher has to account for when comparing surveys. Were they done by the same pollster? Did they query the same type of population (likely voters, registered voters, all adults)? To this list, the volatile 2020 Democratic primary field has added […] Read more »
To Find the Answer, Change the Questions
Earlier blog posts outlined issues around polls and who completes them. There is a more fundamental question: whether polling is a tool of the television age and not of the internet age. CONT. Diane Feldman Read more »
Pollsters prep for more ‘whack-a-mole’ with 2016 in rearview
Pollsters gearing up for the 2020 presidential election have an additional task to contend with: convincing a skeptical public that their work is still reliable. Questions about their methods have dogged them since President Donald Trump’s surprise victory in 2016, although the midterm results helped mitigate some of those doubts. […] Read more »
What More Than 40 Years Of Early Primary Polls Tell Us About 2020: Part 1
How much can we learn from early primary polls? Back in 2011, FiveThirtyEight Editor-in-chief Nate Silver set out to answer this question and found that early national polling is at least somewhat predictive of who will win the nomination, especially when the results are adjusted for each candidate’s name recognition. […] Read more »