Our presidential race is a poll-driven battle of teams managing superficial impressions. The public’s responses to horse race polls are based on little more than vague ideas of what the candidates are saying. … There’s a better way for the American people to grapple in depth with the issues we […] Read more »
Some questions for post-Labor Day Polls
I suspect we will see a spate of new polls fielding after Labor Day. I am hoping they ask some questions beyond the horse race that tell us more about what voters are thinking around the Democratic presidential contest. Here are some suggestions (in no particular order): CONT. Diane Feldman Read more »
Two Polling Methods, Two Views of Trump’s 2020 Re-election Chances
There are two major theories about President Trump’s standing heading into his re-election campaign. Over the last few months, they have found backing from two very different kinds of polls. One theory holds that Mr. Trump is fundamentally like any other president. This would be good news for his chances […] Read more »
Why outlier polls are a good thing
Earlier this week, the Democratic race for president was seemingly rocked by a Monmouth University poll showing former Vice President Joe Biden falling from 32% to 19%. The poll, which had Biden in a virtual tie with Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, was an outlier compared […] Read more »
Statement regarding this week’s Monmouth Poll
Statement from Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Poll, regarding this week’s Democratic presidential primary poll: Monmouth U. Polling Institute Read more »
How can we be smarter about horse race polls?
Much of what is wrong with political polling occurs at the nexus between the firms that produce the surveys and the media industry. It is worth bearing that in mind as we approach the October 2019 federal election campaign, in which opinion polling will be more central than ever to […] Read more »