The approval ratings of democratic leaders around the world have soared during the coronavirus crisis, but political scientists say it will not last – and warn that populist opposition parties, in particular, will bounce back strongly as it subsides. CONT. Jon Henley, The Guardian Read more »
What happened to the ‘rally around the flag’ effect
With the Democratic presidential contest suspended, President Donald Trump appearing daily at briefings and former Vice President Joe Biden largely invisible, it wouldn’t be surprising if the president’s job approval numbers ticked up. That’s exactly what usually happens when the “rally around the flag” effect kicks in. … The president […] Read more »
Why Trump’s approval bump isn’t helping him against Joe Biden
… Of course, most Democrats disapprove of Trump but his current net approval rating is better than it was in December before the coronavirus first emerged. This helps make sense of a puzzle: Why has Trump’s approval bump not helped him in his probable November matchup again former vice president […] Read more »
Who Are the Voters Behind Trump’s Higher Approval Rating?
… Across the country, the coronavirus has sickened more than 150,000 people, cost millions their jobs and tanked the stock market. Yet the president’s approval ratings are as high as they have ever been, despite what most agree to be his slow performance dealing with the crisis, as well as […] Read more »
The coronavirus polling bump is real. But Trump’s is abnormally small.
President Trump’s job approval ratings are up as the public generally approves of his response to the coronavirus crisis. That positive bump is small, however, compared with the bumps for other Western leaders. … Trump’s relatively paltry polling gains are surely related to the extreme level of distrust he has […] Read more »
Why Trump’s Approval Rating Has Increased
In recent days, President Trump’s approval rating has hit its highest point since the early days of his presidency. The FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast team discusses why and suggests it may not be a good longterm indicator for the president. They also discuss where exactly we are in the arc of […] Read more »