The Senate Intelligence Committee recently released the first volume in what will be a series of reports on Russian interference in the 2016 election. Here’s the most startling thing we learned: Russian hackers targeted election infrastructure not just in 21 or 39 states, as previously reported — but in 50 […] Read more »
We Aren’t Seeing White Support for Trump for What It Is
On Feb. 24, 2016, after winning the Nevada caucuses, Donald Trump told supporters in Las Vegas, “I love the poorly educated.” Technically, he should have said “I love poorly educated white people,” but his point was well taken. We have been talking about this since Trump came down that escalator […] Read more »
A Matter of Principle? On the Relationship Between Racial Resentment and Ideology
Racial resentment is perhaps the most contentious – albeit most frequently used – measure of racial prejudice in American political behavior research. Where proponents see a reasonable measure with desirable statistical properties (e.g., consistently high reliability, unidimensional structure) and predictive power when it comes to things such as attitudes about […] Read more »
Which Party’s Voters are More Divided?
The contest for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination features more than 20 candidates representing a wide variety of ideological orientations ranging from progressives like Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) to more moderate candidates like Gov. Steve Bullock (D-MT) and former Rep. John Delaney (D, MD-6). The first […] Read more »
If the Economy Dips, Will Trump’s Fortunes Follow?
… The old adage that Americans vote their pocketbooks used to be a safe assumption. But things are more complicated now, and the economy is not quite as major a driver in presidential popularity as it once was. As this column mentioned last month, noted political scientists John Sides, Lynn […] Read more »
How Much Damage Have Republicans Done in the States?
… The Republican Party still controls many more state governments and legislative chambers than Democrats nationwide. But the fact is, the Republican results at the state level have not been very impressive. Republican-controlled state governments largely failed to enact policies that advance conservative goals. They have been effective at staying […] Read more »