… After two contests in states with overwhelmingly white electorates, the Democratic presidential primaries are moving into a broader and more diverse landscape where Latino and African American voters play a potentially decisive role — and are up for grabs. Just as more voters of color are poised to assert […] Read more »
Why Don’t We Know Which Democratic Candidate Can Beat Trump?
The Democratic presidential primary is starting to feel less like a political contest and more like an existential experiment. In the era of big data and after a year of micro-analyzing every little twist and turn, we seem to know less than we did at the beginning. In an era […] Read more »
Bloomberg’s strategy of skipping early states is ‘confusing’ the process
538’s Nate Silver discusses whether he thinks a contested convention is likely in the Democratic primaries. This Week, ABC News Read more »
The Democratic nomination contest doesn’t look like any from the past
Halfway through the early state primaries and caucuses, Democrats are no closer to clarifying their nominating contest than they were at the turn of the new year. In the coming two contests — Nevada’s caucuses next Saturday and South Carolina’s primary on Feb. 29 — the “winners” from Iowa and […] Read more »
Sanders holds lead heading into Nevada’s Democratic caucuses, poll finds
Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders leads the presidential field by a solid margin among likely Democratic caucusgoers heading into Nevada’s four-day early voting period, but all six of the candidates actively campaigning in the state this week earned double-digit support according to The Nevada Poll™. The telephone poll, conducted by WPA […] Read more »
How Will The Democratic Primary Change Now That It’s Moving To More Diverse States?
Many observers of the 2020 Democratic primary expect that the race will be much different as it moves to states with more diverse electorates. In particular, the expectation is that former Vice President Joe Biden will do better and former Mayor of South Bend, Indiana, Pete Buttigieg will do worse. […] Read more »