June’s Democratic debates seem to bear out the conclusion offered in my last column — primary debates can have more impact than general election confrontations. Pundits and polls agree that Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) had an excellent night. The commentariat didn’t need any numbers to declare her the winner, but […] Read more »
What we know after the first Democratic debate
In the wake of the first Democratic debates, polling anarchy has erupted. There have been six post-debate surveys. Three place support for Joe Biden, the putative leader of the pack, in the low 20s with other candidates nipping at his heels. Three others put him at 30 percent or above, […] Read more »
Aided by a strong economy, Trump approval rises, but a majority also see him as ‘unpresidential’
Aided by a strong economy and perceptions that he has dealt with it effectively, President Trump’s approval rating has risen to the highest point of his presidency, though a slight majority of Americans continue to say they disapprove of his performance in office, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll. […] Read more »
Trump reaches career-high approval, yet faces a range of reelection risks
Bolstered by a strong economy, Donald Trump reached the highest job approval rating of his career in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll and runs competitively for reelection against four of five possible Democratic contenders. Yet he remains broadly unpopular across personal and professional measures, marking his vulnerabilities in the […] Read more »
Where Kamala Harris’s New Voters Came From
Last week, FiveThirtyEight partnered with the survey firm Morning Consult to poll how Democratic voters’ opinions changed as a result of last week’s two-night presidential primary debate. Before the debate, Morning Consult asked thousands of likely Democratic voters questions such as whom they supported and whether they had favorable or […] Read more »
The Trailer: An exclusive poll on how the debates changed the primary
… We know that the first Democratic debate changed the trajectory of the presidential primary. What we’re still trying to figure out is how much it changed the race, and why. For that, The Trailer worked with YouGov Blue and Data for Progress, a liberal advocacy group that has not […] Read more »