I’m writing this on Thursday morning, before there’s much, if any, polling available that reflects how Democrats’ preferences changed following the two-night presidential debate this week. But even before the debate, some candidates had been on the move in the three weeks since my last comprehensive assessment of the Democratic […] Read more »
Debate Podcast: The Moderates Push Back
After a first round of Democratic primary debates in which the conversation seemed to be guided by candidates further to the left, disagreements between moderates and progressives took center stage on the first night of the second round of debates. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver […] Read more »
Sanders and Warren Battle Accusations of ‘Fairy Tale’ Promises as Intraparty Rift Flares
The leading liberals in the Democratic presidential primary, Senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, strenuously fought back on Tuesday against accusations of making fanciful promises and imperiling the party’s prospects against President Trump, as a group of moderate underdogs sought to slow their momentum in the second round of debates. […] Read more »
These 4 questions may determine how Democrats go from 2 dozen candidates to 1
… Over the next roughly 10 months, through the final primaries and caucuses in early June 2020, Democrats must reduce their field from the unruly herd of about two dozen candidates now contending to a single nominee. That process will unfold through innumerable tactical decisions by the campaigns, dozens of […] Read more »
Race and Immigration Divide Democrats Too
For the past week, the media frenzy over President Trump’s Twitter attacks on four Democratic congresswomen of color has centered on the question of whether GOP leaders will rebuke the president’s divisiveness and open hostility to minorities and immigrants. Sticking with Trump, the theory goes, will further cleave the GOP […] Read more »
The Detroit debate: Is there any candidate who doesn’t have something at risk?
The second Democratic presidential debate will take place in just more than a week, this time in Detroit. After what transpired in Miami, almost every candidate has something to prove. CNN, which will host the two nights of debate, found a smart system to assure relative balance between upper- and […] Read more »