Joe Biden has expanded his edge over the Democratic field in a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS, with 29% of Democratic and Democratic-leaning registered voters saying they back the former vice president. That’s up 7 points compared with a late June CNN survey. No other candidate has made meaningful […] Read more »
The 5 Days That Defined the 2020 Primary
For the 23 people now running for president as Democrats, there are good days and bad days. But, most important, there are big days. The days that keep the lights on. The days that fundamentally alter one’s trajectory. And these days often played out on television, and then reverberated on […] Read more »
Will a Third-Lane Candidate Emerge?
After driving more than 500 miles around Iowa over three days this past weekend and listening to almost 20 candidates, the two strongest impressions I received were just how fragile Joe Biden’s front-runner status is, and how Elizabeth Warren’s ascendancy continues to be underestimated. Granted, you didn’t need to drive […] Read more »
Most Democrats Are Excited by ‘Several’ 2020 Candidates – Not Just Their Top Choice
With more than five months to go before the first votes are cast in the 2020 presidential election, a majority of Democratic voters who express a preference for one of the candidates (63%) say they feel excited about several of the candidates currently vying for the party’s nomination. Far fewer […] Read more »
A Recession and the Fight for the Democratic Nomination
The possibility of a global economic slowdown and/or U.S. recession has lots of folks speculating on what it would mean for President Trump’s reelection prospects. Conventional wisdom assumes it would be a political death-blow to the President. Already struggling with anemic job approval ratings in what has been a solid […] Read more »
What to make of Joe Biden’s Iowa front-runner status
… Biden’s candidacy is perplexing to analysts because he’s clearly a front-runner (i.e. he leads in every poll), but he’s not running away with the primary. This is true nationally (where he’s hovered around 30%) and is especially the case in Iowa, where he’s polling lower. Based solely on the […] Read more »