Democrats’ strong desire for a candidate who can defeat President Trump gives Joe Biden the edge in the nomination race, while Hispanic voters help both Biden and Bernie Sanders top Trump in hypothetical 2020 matchups. That’s according to a Fox News Poll of Nevada voters. CONT. Dana Blanton, Fox News Read more »
Buttigieg’s Big Break
This week, we discuss Michael Bloomberg’s possible entrance into the 2020 race, the momentum behind Pete Buttigieg’s boost in Iowa, and how the televised impeachment hearings may influence voters. The Forecast Fest, CNN Read more »
It May Be a Good Idea for Democratic Front-Runners Not to Look Back
Elizabeth Warren’s seemingly inexorable rise and Joe Biden’s dogged resilience have been the two major stories of the Democratic primary so far. Over the next and more intense period of campaigning in the early states, the story could be very different. The two will probably have to confront their vulnerabilities […] Read more »
The picture in Iowa just got muddier, not clearer
For all of the legitimate (and occasionally overblown) hand-wringing about “horse race” coverage of national politics, it is a lamentable fact that horse racing generally offers a good analogy for polling. … On Tuesday afternoon, Monmouth University gave us a new snapshot of the race for the Democratic presidential nomination […] Read more »
Democrats have put their differences above beating Trump. Bloomberg is a symptom not a cure.
A broad coalition now exists to throw President Trump out of office. Every day, he reminds Americans why the country would be so much better off without him. Which makes you wonder: Are Democrats determined to shred themselves into irreconcilable factions? Will they allow this utterly corrupt and unfit man […] Read more »
It’s Old and White, but New Hampshire Is Not Republican
… As the second-oldest and fourth-whitest state in the union, New Hampshire might seem at first glance a Republican paradise. But upper New England whites don’t include many evangelicals or racists raging against minority incursions, since minorities, including immigrants, have largely stayed away. It’s a purple state with an all-Democratic […] Read more »