Two months ago, Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts was commanding support from about a quarter of Democratic primary voters nationwide, and seemed to be building a coalition that cut across demographics. While she remains a leading candidate, after a grueling autumn, polling averages show that her support has dipped back […] Read more »
What Iowa Voters’ Second-Choice Picks Can Tell Us
Polling in presidential primary campaigns is notoriously fluid. In an effort to gauge movement among voters as they might change their mind and as candidates pop in and out of the race, pollsters will often ask voters about both their first-choice candidate and their backup. This question has been particularly […] Read more »
CNN Polls: Close race in California’s Democratic primary while Biden tops in Texas
Likely Democratic primary voters in California are about evenly split among the top three candidates — Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren — in the race for the Democratic nomination, while Texas Democrats tend to favor Biden, the nationwide frontrunner, according to new CNN polls conducted by SSRS in […] Read more »
WBUR Poll: Buttigieg, Biden Top N.H. Primary Race, While Warren’s Support Slips
Pete Buttigieg, mayor of South Bend, Indiana, and former Vice President Joe Biden are leading the crowded Democratic presidential primary race in New Hampshire, according to a new WBUR poll. With the first-in-the-nation primary less than nine weeks away, Buttigieg is running slightly ahead of Biden, followed by Vermont Sen. […] Read more »
Why Aren’t More Women Breaking Out In The Democratic Primary?
… A number of studies have found that voters don’t easily move past women’s stumbles, and are less likely to view women as qualified or competent to begin with. And women’s qualifications can even be turned into liabilities. The precise effect of these attitudes is hard to pin down, but […] Read more »
The Democratic Primary, According To The Early States
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew previews the official FiveThirtyEight polling averages for the 2020 Democratic primary, including how the race looks nationally and in the early states. Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders have both been incredibly steady in the polls, while Sen. […] Read more »