Iowa’s likely caucusgoers are closely divided between four top candidates just weeks out from the Democratic caucuses, a new CNN/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll shows. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is on the rise as other top competitors hold steady or lose ground. Sanders (20%), Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren (17%), former South […] Read more »
It’s Wide Open Going into Iowa
… The Democratic race has been frozen in place by the holidays, without many meaningful developments since the Dec. 19 debate. But don’t let the recent lack of movement fool you; this is the most wide-open contest for the Democratic presidential nomination in modern history. CONT. Charlie Cook Read more »
And Then There Were Five…
In our first episode of 2020, we preview the seventh Democratic primary debate. Plus, we discuss the role endorsements and fundraising play in predicting the ultimate primary winner, and how the developing situation in Iran might influence the 2020 race. The Forecast Fest Read more »
Biden Is The Front-Runner, But There’s No Clear Favorite
Joe Biden is the most likely person to win a majority of pledged Democratic delegates, according to the FiveThirtyEight primary model, which we launched on Thursday morning. … But saying the former vice president is the front-runner doesn’t really tell the whole story. He may be the most likely nominee, […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Races tighten between Trump and Democrats in Wisconsin
The Democratic advantage over Donald Trump has narrowed in potential head-to-head matchups, according to a Fox News Poll of Wisconsin voters. In addition, a plurality opposes the Senate removing President Trump from office following impeachment by the House, even as a majority disapproves of the job he is doing as […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Biden and Sanders vie for lead in Nevada, Biden tops Trump
Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders remain the top picks for the Democratic nomination among Nevada caucusgoers, while Elizabeth Warren fades and Tom Steyer gains momentum. In the general election contest, the latest Fox News Poll of Nevada voters shows Democrats besting President Trump — but only Biden has a lead […] Read more »