FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver shares his big takeaways from the FiveThirtyEight Democratic primary forecast. This Week, ABC News Read more »
Two polls frame the Democratic race and the power of African American voters
… Describing the Democratic campaign as a competition between the progressive wing and the African American wing is, admittedly, something of an apples and oranges comparison. But it speaks to what remains one of the biggest unanswered questions of the 2020 Democratic nomination contest: Will African Americans stick with Biden […] Read more »
Sanders and Biden Look for Dominance in Early States
Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont and former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr., two front-runners in the Democratic presidential race, are mounting a late push to gain a decisive advantage in the early primary and caucus states, aiming to avert a monthslong delegate battle against two insurgent rivals — and […] Read more »
Biden holds wide lead among black voters in Democratic presidential race, Post-Ipsos poll finds
Former vice president Joe Biden is far and away the favored candidate for the Democratic presidential nomination among black Americans, boosted by his personal popularity, his service in the Obama administration and perceptions that he is best equipped to defeat President Trump, according to a national Washington Post-Ipsos poll. CONT. […] Read more »
Election Update: Sanders Now Leads A Wide-Open Iowa Race
Welcome to your first FiveThirtyEight Election Update of the 2020 primary cycle! This is a column in which we’ll talk about the primary race through the lens of our forecast model, which we released earlier this week. … We don’t necessarily plan to publish an Election Update as a result […] Read more »
Iran, Impeachment, and Iowa
Between the events unfolding in Iran and the Iowa causes, there’s a lot to digest this week. Astead Herndon of The New York Times and Clare Malone of FiveThirtyEight join Politics with Amy Walter to provide an update on the state of the Democratic Primary. Plus, Thanassis Cambanis of the […] Read more »