Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg remain atop the Democratic field in New Hampshire just four days before the state’s primary and after the messy results that have marred the Iowa caucuses, a new NBC News/Marist poll finds. CONT. Mark Murray, NBC News Read more »
So, Now What?
Although controversy continues to swirl around the Iowa caucuses, folks here in New Hampshire seemed to have already moved on. They don’t need an official recanvass or final party certified winner to tell them what happened on Monday night. Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg were the winners. Joe Biden was […] Read more »
What We Know About The Democratic Primary After Iowa
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast crew considers how the results — so far — of the Iowa caucuses will affect the Democratic primary. The team also checks in on the campaigning underway in New Hampshire and debates the meaning of the Senate’s vote to acquit President Trump. FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Our Post-Iowa Primary Forecast Is Up, And Biden’s Chances Are Down
Now that we finally have some clarity on Iowa’s results — with 86 percent of precincts reporting — we’ve turned our primary model back on, including its estimates of the potential fallout from Iowa. The model shows former Vice President Joe Biden’s chances of winning a majority of pledged delegates […] Read more »
The Iowa muddle isn’t over, even now that the first results are in
The muddle was still the message even after the Iowa Democratic Party finally released partial results from Monday night’s caucuses following an agonizing and unprecedented delay. … Even if the final numbers, or the order of finish among the candidates, shift somewhat when the last votes are released, one large […] Read more »
Iowa Democrats drawn to two faces of change
Iowa Democrats were drawn to two faces of change. After a daylong delay, partial results from the state’s Democratic caucuses showed Pete Buttigieg, the former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, with a narrow lead over Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders. … Among Sanders’ supporters, 88% said it was more important to […] Read more »