Bernie Sanders’s performance in Tuesday night’s New Hampshire primary isn’t likely to impress the news media much. Sanders won New Hampshire for the second straight election, but he received less than half of his 2016 vote share (26 percent, as of this writing, compared to 60 percent last time) and […] Read more »
Strong liberals lift Sanders, Buttigieg keeps a broad base as NH centrists bring Klobuchar into contention
Older and more educated voters, moderates, and those looking for a candidate to unite the country lifted Amy Klobuchar to competitive status in the New Hampshire Democratic primary, largely at Joe Biden’s expense, as Bernie Sanders held on to younger and very liberal voters, and as in last week’s Iowa […] Read more »
28 Scenarios For What Things Could Look Like After New Hampshire
After an extremely confusing week in the Democratic presidential primary, I have some bad news: New Hampshire might not resolve as much as you think. That’s for two reasons. First, our study of past primaries finds that the bounces that result from New Hampshire are only about half as large […] Read more »
A snapshot of the top 2020 Democratic presidential candidates’ supporters
Democratic registered voters in the United States have a positive view of the field of candidates vying for their party’s presidential nomination, and they generally agree with each other on issues ranging from gun laws to climate change, according to a January Pew Research Center survey. But as the race […] Read more »
The Democratic primary has been a mess. At least New Hampshire is acting normal.
The 2020 primary has gone off the rails. Joe Biden, the semi-anointed front-runner, placed fourth in Iowa and is poised to post another disappointing finish in New Hampshire. Pete Buttigieg, the former mayor of South Bend, Ind., has outlasted more experienced, promising upstarts such as Kamala D. Harris, Beto O’Rourke […] Read more »
Amy Klobuchar’s boomlet clogs the moderate lane
Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar could be having a New Hampshire moment. Klobuchar seems to be gaining support ahead of Tuesday’s vote in the Granite State. Her jump in the polls may have an unexpected beneficiary: Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, who looks to benefit from a division among moderate voters. CONT. […] Read more »