Bernie Sanders Is on the Rise. But How High Can His Numbers Go?

Senator Bernie Sanders has a solid base of support. That much is clear. And he has done a remarkably good job of boxing out Senator Elizabeth Warren for the support of the party’s left wing. He is now the choice of nearly half of Democratic voters who identify as “very […] Read more »

Should We Be Freaking Out Yet About a Contested Convention?

As we move to Nevada, the third contest on the Democrats’ primary calendar, the picture of who the Democrats will nominate for president is as clear as mud. Here’s what we do know: Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg lead the delegate count (22 for Buttigieg to 21 for Sanders), the […] Read more »

Bernie Sanders leaps to first among Texas Democrats in latest UT/TT Poll

U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders has doubled his support among Democratic voters in Texas and now leads the race for that party’s presidential nomination in Texas, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. Sanders had the support of 24% of the self-identified Democratic primary voters in the poll, up […] Read more »

Biden Needs Black Voters to Lift His Campaign. But He Has Competition.

… The ability to mobilize black support in South Carolina, which holds its primary on Feb. 29, and across the South has long been the foundation of Mr. Biden’s candidacy — a presumed advantage that would highlight his capacity to forge a diverse coalition to take down President Trump. Yet […] Read more »

A Contested Convention Becomes More Likely

This week, we deep-dive into the results from the New Hampshire primary. Then, as the campaigns go west, we get Harry’s Forecast for Nevada. Plus, we discuss Mike Bloomberg’s rise in recent polls, along with the renewed scrutiny from his time as New York City mayor. The Forecast Fest Read more »