Tuesday is the biggest day of the 2018 primary season so far. Eight states will be voting. This includes California, the most populated state in the union and where most of the attention will be focused. Two of perhaps the three biggest questions heading into tonight will be answered entirely […] Read more »
California Will Have Clues for the Nation: How to Watch the Primary
The California primary elections on Tuesday might give us a better idea of whether Democrats are headed for a so-called wave election — or whether their recent slide in the generic ballot and the bump in President Trump’s approval rating mean they should worry. The quirks that make the California […] Read more »
How Democrats’ California dream got twisted
… Under California’s system, which was approved by voters in a 2010 ballot proposition, the top two finishers for each office advance to the general election regardless of party. In as many as three Republican-held US House districts across Orange County that Hillary Clinton carried over Donald Trump in 2016, […] Read more »
What the Governor of Massachusetts Tells Us About American Voters
A new WBUR poll of Massachusetts residents confirms that the incumbent governor, Charlie Baker, is overwhelmingly popular and in excellent position to win a second term by a landslide. … What has allowed him to escape the partisan wars that have scarred so many other politicians? Part of the answer […] Read more »
FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast: The Super Tuesday Of Primary Season
Eight states are holding primary contests on Tuesday, including California, where an unconventional primary system could create headaches for both Democrats and Republicans. The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast team previews the California races and dives deep on how the state evolved over the past three decades into one of the most […] Read more »
Left Economy, Right Economy
… Since the 2016 election, the partisan economic expectations gap—that is, the difference between Republicans’ and Democrats’ assessment of the economy’s direction—has widened to an unprecedented level, going from roughly 20 points during the presidencies of Ronald Reagan, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama to 56 points today. Democrats now […] Read more »