This year is one of the few in memory when the fight for control of the House is getting more attention than the one for the Senate, normally the more glamorous of the two. The Senate could flip from Republican to Democratic, but there’s about a one-in-three chance of that, […] Read more »
The Least Analytical 2016 Voters: Democrats Who Supported Trump
… A study that examined voters’ styles of thinking finds that, as expected, Democrats are somewhat more analytically oriented than Republicans. This supports the idea that conservatism is something of a default setting, and rejecting it requires intellectual reasoning. However, the biggest difference in cognitive approaches was between two subsets […] Read more »
Trump & GOP Strategy Make Blue Wave More Likely: The Evidence
Pundits built a new conventional wisdom that included higher job approval ratings for President Donald Trump due to the tax cuts and strong economy that could shrink the enthusiasm advantage and midterm vote for Democrats. But they are wrong about the political trends, the economy, and what motivates Democrats. They […] Read more »
Democrats are more enthusiastic about voting in midterms, poll shows
With less than four months until the midterm elections, it looks as though Democrats have a significant edge in enthusiasm, according to a Washington Post-Schar School poll this month. But the Democrats’ advantage is smaller in battleground congressional districts. CONT. Emily Guskin, Washington Post Read more »
Fox News Poll: Democrats ahead in election enthusiasm, interest — and the vote
Democrats are more interested in the upcoming midterm elections and more enthused to vote than usual, and that helps them to an 8-point edge in the generic congressional ballot test. This amid widespread concern that the country’s political debate is overheated and even dangerous — to the point that many […] Read more »
No, Democrats Aren’t Ruining Their Midterm Chances
Will Democratic gains in the November midterm elections be squandered by an inopportune bout of party infighting? … Political commentators often suggest that national parties maximize their electoral effectiveness when they push a single policy program or message. But the Democratic Party is organized as a coalition of social groups […] Read more »