President Trump’s Midwest is the key gubernatorial battleground in 2018. The swath of states that secured the president’s electoral college victory in 2016 is now home to a series of statehouse contests that could alter the balance of power in a region of the country long crucial to presidential elections. […] Read more »
Violence, Crime, Drugs: These G.O.P. Messages Go Grim
The way Republicans often tell the story, America is on a roll. Unemployment is down. Economic growth is strong. Tax cuts are putting more money in people’s pockets. “Best financial numbers on the Planet,” President Trump declared on Twitter recently. But sometimes a good story just isn’t enough — especially […] Read more »
Is the Senate Up for Grabs Yet?
President Donald Trump’s problems continue to mount, raising more questions about turnout and how independent voters and college-educated women will vote. But the Senate map remains daunting for Democrats, and the polarized nature of our politics continues to limit Democrats’ Senate prospects. CONT. Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call Read more »
Forecast Calls for Legislative Paralysis in the Next Congress
So who will be in charge in Washington next year? Right now, The Cook Political Report is forecasting that the most likely midterm-election outcome in the House is Democrats picking up between 20 and 40 seats, with a 30-seat net gain a plausible guess. A Democratic gain of 23 seats […] Read more »
Poll pushes negative immigration message about Democrat Cindy Axne after Mollie Tibbetts’ death
A poll was in the field pushing negative messages about an Iowa Democrat’s views on immigration the day after authorities said the man they believe killed Mollie Tibbetts is an undocumented immigrant. … It appeared to target voters in Iowa’s 3rd Congressional District, where Democrat Cindy Axne is challenging incumbent […] Read more »
GOP embraces Trump’s hard-line immigration platform as ‘a winner for Republicans’ in November
President Trump and Republican leaders are eagerly embracing hard-line immigration policies as a centerpiece of their strategy for the November midterms, believing the issue will bolster GOP turnout and help detract from the worsening legal scandals enveloping Trump. … Republican strategists view immigration as a deeply emotional issue that motivates […] Read more »