A national USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll finds voters are more likely to back Democrats in their district’s election for the United States House of Representatives, giving Democrats an 8 percentage point advantage over Republicans. … Just under 20 percent of the public nationwide considers Trump as a source of […] Read more »
NBC/Marist poll: It’s a neck-and-neck Senate race in Tennessee
Democrat Phil Bredesen and Republican Marsha Blackburn are running neck and neck in Tennessee’s Senate contest, despite the state’s deep-red hue, according to a new NBC News/Marist poll of Tennessee. Bredesen, the state’s former governor, gets support from 48 percent of likely voters, while Blackburn, who is a current member […] Read more »
A Back-of-the-Envelope Look at How the House Could Flip
Count the House races, and you’ll get a pretty good idea of whether the House will flip in the fall. No, you can’t be entirely certain how an individual toss-up contest is going to turn out in November. But you can arrive at a ballpark assessment of House changes right […] Read more »
Trump’s first midterm pits a booming economy against one of history’s most unpopular presidents
The midterm election now just over eight weeks away is shaping up as a seismic collision between two powerful and competing forces, a rip-roaring national economy and a deeply polarizing and unpopular president. At stake on Nov. 6 is not just control of Congress but the fate of President Trump […] Read more »
Senate 2018: At Least for Now, the Elephant Endures
With Labor Day in the rearview mirror, the race to Election Day is on. The national picture remains favorable to Democrats, but because of the Senate playing field, the Republican majority still will be difficult for Democrats to dislodge even in an optimal environment. One oddity as we reach the […] Read more »
NBC/Marist poll: Democrat Joe Donnelly has slight edge in Indiana Senate race
Democratic Senate incumbent Joe Donnelly has a slight advantage over Republican challenger Mike Braun in Indiana’s closely-watched Senate contest, according to a new NBC News/Marist poll. … Donnelly, a low-key freshman senator in a state that voted for President Donald Trump by nearly 20 points, has long been considered one […] Read more »