For Democrats looking ahead to 2020, the most encouraging trend in 2018 may be the party’s renewed competitiveness in key races across all five Rust Belt states that keyed Donald Trump’s unexpected victory two years ago. Yet even that potential recovery can’t erase the magnitude of the challenge Democrats will […] Read more »
Is Kavanaugh Helping Republicans’ Midterm Chances?
In midterm elections, with different candidates on the ballot in every state and district, it’s rare to see the sort of sharp, turn-on-a-dime shifts in the polls that we frequently saw during the 2016 presidential election, for example. Instead, races are more localized. But the past few weeks — during […] Read more »
Why Sen. Bob Menendez is still favored to win in New Jersey
A Republican winning a US Senate race in deep blue New Jersey? It hasn’t happened since 1972. Yet new polls show Democratic Sen. Bob Menendez in trouble against Republican Bob Hugin. Three high-quality polls released over the last two days give Menendez a lead of anywhere from just 2 to […] Read more »
Senate: Rating Changes in Four Races
Two things tend to happen in the final weeks of an election cycle: a few races that we’ve been watching become more competitive while others that had the potential to become very close recede to safer columns for the party holding the seats. Both are true when it comes to […] Read more »
House GOP Moving Right, Democratic Direction Less Clear
We don’t know exactly how many House seats Democrats will gain in November, though Democratic control of the chamber next year looks almost inevitable. But even now it is clear that the midterm results will move Republicans further to the right. Where the Democrats will stand is less clear. In […] Read more »
Partisanship Trumps Gender: Sexual Harassment, Woman Candidates, Access to Contraception, and Key Issues in 2018 Midterms
Amid the bitter confirmation fight over Judge Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination for the Supreme Court, now hinging on sexual-assault allegations, and the battle for control of Congress, PRRI today released a new survey exploring Americans’ attitudes toward sexual harassment, support for female political candidates, access to contraception, and key issues in […] Read more »