We are all various things at once — maybe a mother, a Southerner, a millennial and a member of the middle class. Or perhaps your Twitter bio introduces you as a husband, a Texan and an engineer. In an era of acrid partisanship, how do political beliefs figure into these […] Read more »
Midterm elections are likely to change the calculus for post-2020 Census redistricting
The redistricting wars, which since 2010 have worked to the advantage of the Republicans, are about to take a potentially significant turn. The midterm elections, along with efforts in states to reduce partisan redistricting, are likely to make the post-2020 battles more competitive. … A Pew Research Center study last […] Read more »
Democratic hopes of taking the Senate look as dim as ever
… Republican hopes of holding the Senate look as bright as ever. Thanks to clear Republican advantages in North Dakota, Tennessee and Texas in our forecast, the Democratic path to a Senate majority is currently blocked. All of those races are within the margin of error, but they aren’t razor […] Read more »
What comes next in the fight against partisan gerrymandering
With the midterm elections only weeks away, the shape of U.S. House districts is again front and center in political conversation. A central question is how much Republican-drawn maps might disadvantage Democratic candidates. To tackle this issue and the debate about redistricting generally, I talked to two scholars: Jonathan Rodden […] Read more »
Two Elections: Democrats’ Chance of Taking the Senate Fading, House Likely to Flip
The Democrats’ chances of netting at least two Senate seats always seemed like a long shot. But a month ago, the stars looked to be aligning for them. Today, those stars tell a different story. … For months, it has looked as if Democrats would capture the House and Republicans […] Read more »
‘It keeps me awake at night’: Democrats fear lackluster Latino support could undercut bid for Congress
Democrats are worried about Latino voters in the midterms, fearing that weak efforts to energize a core element of their base could imperil their bid to win control of Congress in next month’s elections. From the Sun Belt battlegrounds of Nevada and Arizona to sprawling turf wars in Texas and […] Read more »