With the fog of political coverage you’re likely to see over the next week, I wanted to provide Roll Call readers with a simple how-to guide to identify important indicators on election night and what I will be focusing on as an election analyst when the first numbers begin to […] Read more »
Abortion May Be Mobilizing More Democratic Voters Than Republicans Now
The partisan struggle over abortion has been an enduring feature of American politics. But the parties have not prioritized it equally — the issue has consistently animated Republican voters more than Democrats. Two new surveys, however, reveal a remarkable shift in how important the issue of abortion is to Democrats […] Read more »
In Wisconsin, Governor Scott Walker may face a Democratic backlash against Donald Trump
22,748. That’s the number of votes by which President Trump beat Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election in Wisconsin. That’s 0.76 percent of all the votes cast in the state. It was also the first time since Ronald Reagan won the state in 1984 that the majority of the […] Read more »
It’s not a blue wave. It’s a realignment of American politics
In next week’s midterm elections, President Donald Trump is poised to put his stamp on each party’s demographic and geographic base of support as surely as he formerly fastened it to one of his hotels. A CNN analysis of the demography of the most competitive districts in the House of […] Read more »
Where some see tragedy in toxic politics, Trump sees opportunity
Tragedy and terror have dominated the last 72 hours in American politics. On Friday, authorities charged Caesar Sayoc of sending more than a dozen pipe bomb packages targeted at prominent Democrats. On Saturday, an anti-Semitic gunman killed 11 at a synagogue in Pittsburgh. And both appear to be products of […] Read more »
Harvard IOP Youth Poll: Democrats preferred to control Congress 66% to 32%; President Trump’s approval rating stands at 26%
The Institute of Politics (IOP) at Harvard Kennedy School today released the results of their biannual survey of 18- to 29- year olds showing that young Americans are significantly more likely to vote in the upcoming midterm elections compared to 2010 and 2014. Overall, 40 percent report that they will […] Read more »