As I wrote earlier this week, Democrats almost certainly need a systematic polling error to win the Senate. By that I mean: They need for the polls to be off everywhere, or at least in certain key clusters of states, to win the Senate. … What might be more surprising […] Read more »
Trump and the media get an almost equal share of the blame for politically motivated violence in new Post-ABC poll
Both President Trump and the news media are seen by nearly half of American voters as encouraging politically motivated violence, with partisans taking predictable sides in the wake of recent attacks, a new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds. The poll finds that 49 percent of registered voters say Trump, in […] Read more »
Senate: Four More Days! Four More Days! Four More Days!
The waning days of any election cycle are always the hardest as there is little more left for the political world to do but speculate and traffic in gossip. Nearly every conversation begins with, “So I heard …”. This cycle has been no exception, but the final days have been […] Read more »
Why We’re Headed for Huge Turnout
A week before the midterm elections, both parties are filled with anxiety. Like football wide receivers who have been blind-sided one time too many, many Democrats are hearing real or imaginary footsteps—residual trauma from the 2016 election, when they thought things were going so well until they didn’t. Similarly mindful […] Read more »
Half say Trump encourages violence by way he speaks
Half of registered voters think that President Donald Trump is encouraging politically motivated violence in the United States in the way he speaks, but essentially as many say the media are doing the same in the way they report the news, according to an ABC News/Washington Post poll. … On […] Read more »
Trump’s Nationalism Is Breaking Point for Some Suburban Voters, Risking G.O.P. Coalition
Two years ago, the presidential election hinged in large part on a rightward shift among working-class whites who deserted Democrats. Tuesday’s House election may turn on an equally significant and opposite force: a generational break with the Republican Party among educated, wealthier whites — especially women — who like the […] Read more »