U.S. women voters increased their support for Democratic candidates for the House of Representatives, providing an anticipated swing to help the party take control of the chamber, according to Reuters/Ipsos Election Day poll. Fifty-five percent of women said they backed a Democrat for the House this year, compared with 49 […] Read more »
AP VoteCast: Trump a dominant force on voters’ minds
President Donald Trump was a dominant force in the 2018 midterm elections as attitudes toward the polarizing leader influenced the decisions of more than 6 in 10 voters as they rendered a split decision on his presidency. Nearly 40 percent of voters cast their ballots to express opposition to the […] Read more »
A split America reasserts its divisions in the midterm elections
The deep divisions that have defined American politics in the era of President Trump played out across the country in Tuesday’s midterm elections, as Democrats scored victories in key races in Republican-held suburban House districts but ran into a wall of opposition in red-state Senate contests. … A potential change […] Read more »
The (Final) Forecast: A Democratic House and a Republican Senate, but still some uncertainty
The 2018 campaign (mostly) comes to an end today. If the polls and our forecasts are right, the Democrats and Republicans will each have something to be happy about. Democrats are favored to take back the House, while Republicans are favored to maintain control of the Senate. Our final House […] Read more »
The two Americas are on a collision course today
Two Americas could render diametrically opposed verdicts on President Donald Trump’s tumultuous first two years in today’s election. From one direction, Trump faces intense antipathy among young people and minority voters and unusually broad resistance among college-educated white voters, especially women. That threatens Republicans with widespread losses in well-educated, often […] Read more »
Our Final Forecast In The Senate, House And Gubernatorial Races
Happy Election Day! The last of the polls are in, and it’s finally pencils down for FiveThirtyEight’s 2018 midterm forecast. Here are our final forecasts: CONT. Nathaniel Rakich, FiveThirtyEight Read more »